Posts Tagged ‘commodities’
Forex Market
Forex Trading Robot – IvyBot
I don’t know about you, but I remember when my father used to work double shifts at his job in a synthetic rubber factory, trading shifts, working stock, putting himself on autopilot, working like a robot. He worked way too hard to make better futures for his 4 children, wife and himself. All his family really wanted was him not more currency.He would work himself so hard just to make extra money but every two weeks that check would come and it always disappointed him. All he did was get broker and broker and broker.
He’d work and work, double shifts, any extra shifts he could, but the harder he worked the less money he came home with because it would put him into a hight tax bracket.Dad needed and expert adviser to help him see that all the extra work wasn’t worth it.
Working hard was what his generation did. Now don’t get me wrong I’m not saying there is anything wrong with working hard, but there wasn’t a choice then, we have a choice now. Forex trading robots. IvyBot
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The Basics of Futures Trading
Have you heard of futures trading? From day trading to positions trading, many people trade in the futures markets. There are also futures options where traders trade an option contract which is directly related to the underlying futures market.
What exactly are they trading? Future commodity trading is not like the stock market where people buy shares of a stock. You do not actual own anything. You are just speculating on what the price will be of a commodity in the future.
When you want to put on a futures trade, you must first put up margin money. This is in case the market moves against you; you will have enough capital to pay the loss to the brokerage firm.
Although speculators make up the bulk of futures traders, the markets were intended to protect farmers from losing everything. A farmer can hedge in the futures and protect any loss he will have in the cash market. A farmer can sell the futures in wheat. He might do this if he thinks the wheat market will fall before harvest. A bread manufacturer might buy the futures if he thinks the price will rise before harvest. Whatever happens to the wheat market, both will guarantee their price.
A speculator is interested only in trading to make a profit. If he thinks the market will rise, he will purchase the futures. If he thinks the market will fall, he will sell a futures. You do not have to own the contract first to sell it. You can first sell the futures contract.
There is risk in any type of trading. That is why some traders only buy futures options, so they know their risk is limited to what they paid for the option. Others who trade futures contracts use technical analysis like fibonacci trading. They will only enter trades that have criteria from the chart analysis.
The Gann Square of Nine
Gann Square of Nine or Gann Pyramid as it is also called, is one of the most useful tools in the investment industry. Though it is somewhat more complicated than other tools, once mastered it is very useful when applied to financial analysis.
The Gann Square of Nine is most often used to confirm the significance of highs and lows in terms of stocks, commodities and other types of investments. Imagine being able to predict when to buy a particular stock and how much to pay. The Gann Square of Nine makes this not only possible, but also a reality that has worked for many investors over the past century.
It is important here to note that Gann Square of Nine should never be used to choose tops and bottoms when selecting stocks, but it can be utilized to provide additional information to confirm how significant a recent high or low point in the market was when a break in a trend occurs. Gann Square of Nine is similar in shape and concept to a wheel or circle, and is often also referred to as the Gann Wheel.
It starts with the number 1 in the center and radiates out to the first square of nine. This begins with the number 2or number 1 to the left of the center, it then spirals clockwise to the number 9 in order to form its first rotation around the square of nine. This rotation then shifts one unit to the left of nine and the next rotation begins at the number 10. It then continues its spiral to the number 20 and so on.
Here is a picture of the Gann Square of nine:
http://www.stock-commodity-trading.com/gannsquare.gif
The Gann Square of Nine is a time and price calculator that figures the square root of numbers, both odd and even and their midpoints as well. It also seeks time and price alignments from a specified starting point or price level. One example of this would be a significant high or low point in a given market.
If you look at the numbers that appear on the grid that run down to the bottom left corner on the Gann Square of Nine, you will find them to be the square root of odd numbers. An example of this would be 5×5 = 25. If, on the other hand, you look at the numbers that run up to the top right corner on the Gann Square of Nine, you will find they are the square root of even numbers. An example of this is 4×4 = 16.
The numbers that run down to the bottom right corner will show you the midpoint between the squares of odd and even numbers. Let’s use the numbers 25 and 16 mentioned above to illustrate this. Here, the number 21 would represent their midpoint because it falls exactly between them.
The Gann Square of Nine is an arrangement of numbers with a specific order and a used in a number of ways. Further review of Gann Square of Nine will show you how it works and illustrate its usefulness in determining market highs and lows.
Day Trading 101
Everyone wants a shortcut to learn day trading or any other kind of short term trading – someone to teach them the “secret sauce” that will take 10-20 years of experience and allow them to come up to speed in a few months. If you needed brain surgery, would you want the guy who got his degree online in 6 months OR the guy who spent 10+ years in med school + residency + specialization? Is that even a fair question?? Well, it's lucky for everyone that trading is far harder than brain surgery … not really but it can seem like it. In actuality there are really some positive things you can do to dramatically decrease the learning curve, BUT there is no holy grail solution or indicator that can ever ever replace experience. That is learned. The key to winning is doing things that will cause you NOT TO LOSE.
First off, you really need to treat day trading as a profession. This means act like its a real job and your only way to make money. You will need a dedicated computer for trading only, with 2 monitors - a single monitor cannot show enough data. Older computers are fine for some things, but do not try to use an older computer that is underpowered for trading. I can assure you that computer will fall behind of the task. There is nothing worse than data that falls behind (lagging) as you cannot tell where price is actually at. Trading is super data intensive, make sure you have a computer with at least the following specs:
1. A minimum dual core chip, ideally you want a quad core chip. Each core on the chip can run a separate application, and this really lessens the chance the computer will stall out. Make sure the chip has a decent amount of L2 cache. If you dont know what this is, ask a local computer nerd, they will help you.
2. A minimum of 2gb of memory, the more the better, and the faster the better. If you want more than 4gb you will have to use a 64 bit operating system. Make really sure before you do this step that whatever software you plan on using is compatible. You should be able to get by with 2-4gb fine. The faster the memory the better, but no need to really pay up for special memory.
3. An add on graphics card from Nvidia OR AMD. Make sure the card can handle at least 2 monitors. You do not need a high end gaming card, you should be able to get something decent for about 100-150 bucks easy. Do not rely on the built in graphics on the motherboard, they are notoriously underpowered for any graphics intensive software. Trading is extremely graphics intensive - think about real time charting, indicators, order entry, bid ask in real time etc - it adds up.
You will only need this on your main computer that will be traded on and used for charting. You want 1 dedicated screen for order entry and 1 screen for charting. If you have older computers, those are fine to use for surfing the net, checking news, IM chat and other stuff. I would always keep your trading computer as uncluttered with add on applications as possible. You do not want to be in the unfortunate predicament of the computer crashing or locking up during a trade.
Just like a real office, you need a dedicated space that will serve as your trading center and workplace. It needs to be setup no different than a desk in a normal working environment - phone, lights, supplies, computer, printer etc. Remember to succeed, you really have to treat learning trading as a real business, not some kind of hobby. A hobby is fine, but you cannot expect to become an expert unless you treat it seriously. When you are in a trade or watching a setup to enter, don't let outside junk distract you. This means chatting on the phone to friends, watching tv shows, and doing other things while “kind of watching” the market. If this type of behavior would not be acceptible in a normal office, it will not cut it for trading either.
Once your office is setup, you really need to get serious about learning how the market works. The internet and free blogs are a great source of information, but you should not expect to learn everything online. Go to amazon.com.or other sites like Trader's Galleria - search for the term "charts" or "stock charts". You want a beginning book and an advanced book on charting. To learn to trade you have to understand the mechanics of how price moves, which means you have to learn to be an expert at charting. This can and will take some amount of time, and is not easy. But as you get more proficient, it becomes much easier to add new ideas and concepts because you have the background framework to understand them.
Expect learning charts to take about a year to get good, but in a month or 2 you can get a good start. Again, do not fall into the trap of thinking “if I throw some money at this, someone will show me secrets and shortcuts”. If you don't have the foundation to understand what is going on, no amount of shortcuts will fix that since you dont understand the underpinnings of how stuff works. One word of caution - do not attend any seminars until you have at least mastered basic charting - your money and time will be wasted. When you think you are ready for the advanced book, then you can consider attending a seminar to learn more. Again here there is no substitute for experience. You will need to watch the markets every day, even if its just for an hour or 2 (until you decide its a career move you can make).
You need to watch the market live and then once the market is closed, go over static charts as well. If your time is impacted because you have another full time job and cannot watch the market here is a secret: Get some screen capture video software (records your screen to video) and an external usb hard drive, probably 500gb will do. Set up a real time chart of the market and a few stocks on your screen before you leave for work. Set up the software you are going to use for recording to save to the external usb hard drive. You can set up a macro (there are free programs out there that can do this, search Google) if you are not home when the market opens. Set i to record at least an hour of video of the market open and any charts you have open. Then when you get home at night, you can play this back in real time and work on watching for chart patterns. If this does not appeal to you, some of the brokerage firms or data vendors have market replay that can replay parts of the prior day for you.
I have not touched on one last thing - charting software. There are tons of them out there. I have my own preferences, but that does not matter. You need to find what you are comfortable with. Some are very complicated and programmable, some are simpler and don’t have as many bells and whistles. If the beginning , I would suggest everyone go with simple. What good is having 500 things you have no clue what they do or how they work?? All that can do is to lead to confusion and add a bunch of things that are too complicated. Just make sure its a fully robust charting package – meaning all charts are live, you can put tick charts AND minute based charts up (not delayed data, live data) AND its not web based. Web based means the program is running in a browser, rather than running as a separate executable. For the most part, you always want a standalone, executable program - they are far faster and speed is money. If your trading platform is integrated with the charts that is totally fine, just make sure its not web based order entry either. Its simply too slow to be of any use. Web based is totally fine for buy and hold, longer term investing. Trading is about time, even 5 seconds sometimes can cost you 50c per share if the market is moving fast. That is a real cost and can cause you to turn what would be a winning trade into a losing trade.
While this was not a tutorial on how to trade, I tried to touch on a few subjects often overlooked when people are trying to learn to trade. They overlook these because they either cost money (charting software, real time data, computers) or they think they take too much time so lets find a way to skip this or that part.
Some costs of doing business are fixed costs and must be bourne in order to be in business. As a trader, data and charting costs are one of many. Often you can get them minimized or waived if you are active, but for probably the first year expect to pay for them as you are learning.
What You Should If You Are A Day Trading
Anyone who is in the day trading business for sometime now would readily agree that sticking with two to three day trading styles that work is advantageous. Best you get into this habit if you want convenience in trading while giving maximized profits. Let’s be honest – don’t we all wish we just had some type of trading robot to do all the work for us? The sad fact is that most traders do everything manually. Being able to master one single technique that has historically worked for the trader seems to be practical.
It is advantageous for traders to focus on the ongoing trade as well as the style. People who are like Jack of all trades don’t have a good place in buiness like this. These people who frequently shift from one trading style to another normally face lots of losses due to untimely decisions that are brought by the lack of proficiency in the styles. A market that is erratic doesn’t show mercy to people who commit unwarranted mistakes and people who do not have specific systems are more likely to get victimized by such mistakes. Experts or those people who have certain specialties are almost always better paid than people who know all the systems but cannot put them to good work.
When traders commit to instruction in a certain trade approach, they find out each of the needed concepts. This way, the system and the trader will become parallel in development. Don’t just go out there and always try to get the best penny stocks you see. If you do that you are not better than folks hunting for discounts at the supermarket. Focus on the trade and the style will also work for the trader’s advantage. If one is only using the style he is familiar with he no longer has to bother on dividing attention between the fast-paced changes in the trade and the decisions on what move to take next. Developing specific styles will also give room for developing other crucial aspects of trading like money management and risk management. This business is not just about being able to build up a style or two and earning money along the process but also optimizing the power to earn more or to lessen the unnecessary risks encountered. The most successful traders have learned all the aspects of the trade without necessarily having to spend a lot of their time learning the factors that don’t count that much.
Knowing money management for example will help the trader allocate his accounts to those shares that are most lucrative after quickly evaluating the profits against the risks involved. In order for a trader to achieve a good balance between winning and losing, risk management must be utilized. A number of matters ought to be instructed in day trading, and one is selecting an approach. Have a look at my trading robot review if you want to know how to automate your trading using software tools.